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Rockies: 6.6 runs (no movement)
John Means is allowing a 5.50 xFIP to right handed bats and is pitching in the worst park for pitchers against some of the most potent right handed bats in baseball. Means relies on his changeup as his best pitch throwing it nearly 40% of the time but unfortunately for him COL best changeup hitters are also their best overall hitters for this spot. Look to Arenado, Story, Desmond, Reynolds as key pieces to a ROX stack and feel free to mix in some lefties for after Means gets knocked out of the game.
Orioles: 5.5 runs (up from 5.1)
The lower owned side of this game may actually be more intriguing. Jeff Hoffman, while displaying awesome K stuff in the minors as also been touched up to a 7+ ERA and 5+ xFIP. The Orioles come really cheap for being the away team in Coors Field with guys like Rio Ruiz batting 5th for sub 4k. They also make for an interesting leverage stack as you could even see some slight ownership come in on Hoffman as people try and chase his K upside in the minors.
Athletics: 5.4 runs (up from 5.1)
LeBlanc got rocked last time out as he struggles mightily with right handed bats. In a small sample size this year he is allowing 4.05 HR/9 to RHB to go along with a near 50% hard contact rate and 42% flyball rate. All factors that will not play well vs an Oakland team that will roll out eight or nine RHB that can all hit for a lot of power.
GPP: Red Sox 4.9 runs (up from 4.6)
With all the other options for bats on this slate the Red Sox are coming in with next to no ownership despite Wade Miley being a league average pitcher at best in a ballpark that is suited for a lot of these power Boston righties with the Crawford Boxes in left. Wade Miley is giving up almost 40% hard contact to lefties with a 4.79 xFIP. Look to the top of the order righties like Mookie, JD, Xander and Steve Pearce as a value play hitting 5th at just $3,000 on DraftKings.