Soccer Locks Sheet: UEFA Champions League March 6

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Locks Breakdown

Kylian Mbappe – $10,600 – There’s a lot going for Mbappe in this match, and to me he is the best bet to score on the slate. Mbappe has the highest goal scoring odds, on the biggest favorite, without Neymar and Edinson Cavani to take scoring opportunities from him, and against a Manchester United side that is going to really struggle to play forward in Paris against a better team and coach. Mbappe should be the most popular forward on the slate, with the rest of the pricing being so tough.

Andreas Pereira – $3,300 – Most expect Pereira to play the “Pogba role” in this game, with Pogba out on card accumulation. Pereira had a fantastic showing in Manchester United’s most recent EPL match, with a goal, an assist, and a handful of crosses, which should make him really popular on this slate, especially with news that he should play the 10, or “playmaker” position for Manchester United. Fred makes another decent punt option on this slate if he draws the start, as he could see a role on sets, but it’s never guaranteed, and is nothing more than a gamble.

Alex Telles – $5,800 – Based on the other prices on this slate, this is a fantastic price for a guy with full control of set pieces, as well as a chance at PKs/direct sets. It’s also worth thinking about positioning of teams here, and FC Porto is a goal down, needing to win by a goal to advance, meaning they should look to stay on offense if they don’t strike early. Telles is probably the top cash play on the slate for me outside of Mbappe.

 

Value options

Diogo Dalot – $3,800 – Starting in an attacking position for Manchester United, but Luke Shaw for the same price has a higher floor than Dalot but less upside. Keep in mind that Dalot is starting in that position for the biggest dog on the slate, in Paris, against a much better team. I’m not expecting a lot for a player that doesn’t naturally cross on a team that won’t get many scoring opportunities. But you could do worse.

Luke Shaw – $3,800 – May take some sets on his side. Overall, the value on this slate is very thin outside of Pereira and Telles.

Diego Perotti – $6,800 – Perotti is in an attacking position and should share sets with Aleksander Kolarov with Pellegrini sidelined. He’s a great cash option and has one of the better floors on the slate.

 

Quick look

Manchester United (+500) @ Paris Saint-Germain (-205) — 3u (-120)
Wednesday 3 p.m. EST
Leg 1: Paris Saint-Germain, 2-0
PSG sets: Angel di Maria
MU sets: Ashley Young, Like Shaw, Fred, Marcus Rashford

Roma (+260) @ FC Porto (+100) — 2.5o (-135)
Wednesday 3 p.m. EST
Leg 1: Roma, 2-1
Porto sets: Alex Telles
Roma sets: Aleksander Kolarov, Diego Perotti

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DraftKings Locks Sheet

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FanDuel Locks Sheet

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