NBA Locks Sheet: March 6

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Locks Breakdown

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Locks

PG/SF Ben Simmons ($8,900) – With Joel Embiid and Boban Marjanovic off the court these past six games, Ben Simmons has averaged 38.3 minutes per game while leading the team in usage (24.2%), AST% (34.8) and TRB% (16.3) while averaging 1.31 FPPM. The 76ers currently own the fourth highest projected team total (117.75) and are having a Bulls team that rank 23rd in defensive rating and 27th in RB% on the season. No way should he be sub-$9,000 on DraftKings.

PF/C LaMarcus Aldridge ($7,600) – LMA should have an absolute field day against the Hawks and Vegas agrees, granting them highest projected team total on the slate (120.5). Not only is he incredibly cheap for this matchup, he receives a massive boost in production with Poeltl out. Playing alongside Poeltl, Aldridge averages just 1.05 FPPM. When Poeltl and Gasol are both off the court, his rates go up to 1.2 FPPM. Like I mentioned in the Derrick White blurb above, expect Aldridge to grab the start at center.

Cash plays

PG/SF Luka Doncic ($9,100) – In 334 minutes this year with this current roster, Doncic has been otherworldly. In this situation, he has a 35.2% usage rating, 42.7 AST% and a 14.2 TRB% while averaging 1.41 FPPM. The only reason I have Simmons as a lock over him is the minutes. Even in competitive games, seldom does Doncic play over 35 minutes and Simmons has been playing 40+ as of late. Regardless, I don’t mind Luka being your highest priced player tonight.

PG/SG Derrick White ($5,400) – On the season, White has been at a paltry 0.79 FPPM but has played much better as of late. Over the past month, he’s averaged 1.11 FPPM and his minutes have been incredibly steady. With Jakob Poeltl out and Pau Gasol gone, expect LaMarcus Aldridge to grab the start at center and for the Spurs to play smaller in general. This will secure his minutes even more and the matchup couldn’t get any better than the second fastest team in the league with third worst defensive rating.

C Dwight Powell ($5,900) – Since joining the starting lineup, Powell’s minutes and production have been on a rise. Playing 37 minutes in his first two starts and 32 in the second two. He was on pace to play 36+ minutes in the latter games but missed because both games ended up blowing out. He’s been extremely efficient in these four games, averaging 1.07 FPPM, despite his low usage rating. His price tag is rising as it should but I think there is still value to be had in it.

SG/SF Jeremy Lamb ($5,200) – Over the course of the season, Lamb has a 24% usage rating while averaging 1 FPPM. Since com they switched up the starting lineup and started bring Lamb off the bench, we’ve seen his production jump to 1.09 FPPM which makes sense when he’s not playing as many minutes along side Kemba Walker. The matchup with the Heat isn’t the prettiest but the game should be competitive with only a 3 point spread. Expect Lamb to continue to receive 32-34 minutes tonight.

Value plays

C JaVale McGee ($3,700) – Production has never been the issue with McGee, it’s been the minutes. Over the course of the season, he’s averaged 1.17 FPPM and he might thrown into big minutes tonight vs Nikola Jokic. The reason his minutes have been down so much has a ton to do with the willingness of the Lakers to play an undersized Kyle Kuzma at center against traditional centers. Now that he is out, they have no choice but to give him minutes. JaVale is one of the best values on the slate and should be relatively chalky tonight.

PG/SG Tomas Satoransky ($5,200) – After seeing his playing time cut for a while, Tomas is back to his normal 32+ minute workload in competitive games. His price still hasn’t adjusted and now he get’s one of the better defensive matchups in the league against the Mavericks. I only see him fit to roster if you’re playing him WITH Jeremy Lamb, as I think Lamb is a far superior play today in cash. Satoransky is a great pivot off of him in cash games.

C Alex Len ($4,500) – This play solely relies on Dewayne Dedmon being sidelined but he is doubtful as of 12:29 P.M. EST. With Dedmon, Spellman, Plumlee and Lin off the court this season, Len averages 1.08 FPPM. Playing in the highest over/under (234.5) on the slate, it’s hard to get away from him when you can easily project him for at least 26 minutes. Hopefully his poor outing last game keeps his ownership low.

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DraftKings Locks Sheet

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