Hockey Betting: Calgary Flames vs Vegas Golden Knights Trends, Advantage and Pick.

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Game Details

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Spread: VGK -145

Total: 6.5

Calgary Flames away ATS: 21-13

Vegas Golden Knights home ATS: 19-14

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Game Breakdown

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The Vegas Golden Knights have the most dominant underlying numbers in the entire NHL over their last 10 games. Vegas is averaging a ridiculous 15.25 HDCF/60 good for 1st in the league by a wide margin. They are doing this while suppressing teams to a minuscule 9.54 HDCA/60 good for 5th best in the NHL over that same time span.

Calgary is of course no pushover in their own right, currently leading the Pacific division by 12 points over the Vegas Golden Knights and winners of 7 of their last 9 games. Over this same time period Calgary has averaged just around 12 HDCF/60, 12th in the NHL while holding opponents to around 10 HDCA/60. Calgary also ranks in the bottom 10 in xGA/60 over this same period.

All the numbers point to Vegas having been the more dominant team over their L10 games yet they’ve only won 5 of their last 10 games, setting them up for some expected positive regression. This is as close to a must-win game as it gets for Vegas whose looking to chip away at this 12 point deficit vs their division leading rivals. I think Vegas comes out on their home ice motivated and dominant as they usually are.

Pick: VGK (-145) for 1 unit / VGK -1.5 (+175) for .5 unit.

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