College Basketball Locks Sheet: March 5

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DraftKings Locks Sheet

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Locks Breakdown

Coby White – $7,700 – UNC gets the second-worst defense in the ACC here, and White is always going to be my top target when it comes to UNC. He’s got a 28.6% shot rate in conference play, along with a fat 27.5% assist rate. We could see him around 30 minutes in this game, considering it could get out of hand late in the game, but I still expect him to hit 4x here with relative ease. I don’t mind stacking White with Johnson, Maye, or Little, as UNC is in one of the best spots on this slate, especially considering they play at one of the highest paces in college basketball.

Tyson Carter – $5,200 – It looks like Nick Weatherspoon is still suspended, and although Tyson Carter gets a tough matchup with Tennessee, he’s a fantastic option as he’s been sitting around 35 minutes on average since Weatherspoon’s suspension. Meanwhile, his price hasn’t caught up to him, especially considering he’s shooting a ton of three-pointers (14 attempted in the most recent game versus Auburn). I’m fine with fading Carter in GPPs, just because he should be super chalky.

Keyshawn Bryant – $4,400 – Lock lock lock Bryant at this price. It’s not even a question for me with AJ Lawson still sidelined with an ankle injury. Bryant played 39 minutes with Lawson sidelined in the last game, shooting 12 shots and grabbing seven rebounds, which is to be expected of a guy with a 22% usage rating when he’s on the floor. He’s the top play on the slate. Hasani Gravett is also a little bit underpriced with Lawson out, as he took 17 shots in the team’s most recent game. He’s probably one of my favorite mid-range guard options.

Value rankings

Tyson Carter – read above

Keyshawn Bryant – read above

Quentin Grimes – $4,500 – Grimes is starting to hit his stride, something Kansas fans have been waiting on all year long. He’s played 36 minutes in each of the last two games, and with Lagerald Vick still out of the picture, it wouldn’t surprise me if that continues for Grimes, who can do a ton on the floor when his shot is falling. At this price, you’re not risking a whole lot.

Lamonte Turner – $5,800 – Turner continues to be underpriced for his expanded role, and he continues to project as a value on almost every slate.

Jamal Bieniemy – $4,500 – KU has one of the worst three-point defenses in the country, and Bieniemy has a 43.9% 3PM rate in conference games this year. For the same reason, I think you can make a case for Brady Manek in GPPs. It only will take a few shots for him to hit value at this price, and we should see him get anywhere between 28-35 minutes in a competitive game.

Nick Richards – $4,100 / EJ Montgomery – $4,300 – With Reid Travis still out, Richards started and played more minutes against Tennessee than Montgomery, but like I’ve said before, I expect both, in a normal game, to be around 20-22 minutes each. If they’re getting 20 minutes each, both are solid plays, but I slightly prefer Montgomery — he’s the better prospect and has a slightly higher shot rate.

Nassir Little – $4,600 – Little’s price is in a spot where it’s not going to bust you, unless he ends up getting 11 minutes like he did a few games ago. We have a guy with tremendous rates, who really deserves to be playing minutes over Garrison Brooks in my opinion. Little will have an awesome matchup whenever he’s on the floor though, as Boston College really struggles inside.

Ahmed Hill – $5,800 – Hill is a pretty boring play, and I prefer Turner to him at the same price, as Turner has a lot more scoring upside than Hill. These VT games are difficult to target with such a slow tempo.

Matt McQuaid – $5,100 / Aaron Henry – $4,300 – Henry and McQuaid have been playing big minutes with Kyle Ahrens dealing with some sort of back issue and Nick Ward sidelined. This MSU bench is getting pretty thin, so we’re going to see Cassius Winston, Kenny Goins, Xavier Tillman, and McQuaid/Ahrens play all the minutes they can get against a really bad Nebraska team that is just falling apart right now. I slightly prefer Henry, as he gets the better matchup, and the better price, but both are good plays, and stackable with Xavier Tillman.

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FanDuel Locks Sheet

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